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5 Labour Force and Educational Level

5.1 Labour Force Structure
5.2 Educational Level
5.3 Development Trends in Unemployment
5.4 Supply of Technical Expertise in the Workforce
5.4.1 Engineers
5.5 Language Capabilities


5.1 Labour Force Structure

Most OECD countries are facing the same trend in labour force in the years to come. De facto, though, the magnitude of the problem is much smaller in the Oresund Region than in the majority of e.g. the other EU countries.

The labour force in the Oresund Region totals about 1.5 million persons. Figure 5.1 describes the composition of the labour force by age and sex.

 

Figure 5.1 - The labour force in the Oresund Region 1996

 

Greater Copenhagen

Scania

The Oresund Region

Age

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Total

16-19

23.670

22.246

5.031

5.093

28.701

27.339

56.040

20-24

53.597

51.727

22.671

20.424

76.268

72.151

148.419

25-29

66.328

60.678

30.620

26.286

96.948

86.964

183.912

30-34

68.775

61.683

34.732

29.493

103.507

91.176

194.683

35-39

58.216

53.115

30.754

28.436

88.970

81.551

170.521

40-44

53.651

51.561

31.684

30.011

85.335

81.572

166.907

45-49

59.442

58.239

34.184

33.426

93.626

91.665

185.291

50-54

54.795

50.098

34.542

33.223

89.337

83.321

172.568

55-59

37.581

32.301

23.628

22.493

61.209

54.794

116.003

60-64

21.944

15.034

13.700

12.713

35.644

27.747

63.391

65-69

3.808

1.923

4.795

2.297

8.603

4.220

12.823

70+

8.979

4,879

1.510

432

10.489

5.311

15.800

All

510.787

463.483

267.851

244.327

778.637

707.811

1.486.448

Source: AF-Oresund

 

The average age in the work force is 40 years, and it is expected to rise in the years to come according to an ageing population. The young generations entering the labour market are too small to compensate for the retiring ages. Irrespective of the expected rise in the size of the population as a whole in the Oresund Region, the change in the age distribution of the population will imply a minor decrease of about 1% until 2005 in the size of the population in the working ages in the region. However, this trend is not unique for the Oresund Region.




5.2 Educational Level

Figure 5.2 shows the populations (and labour forces) distribution on highest attained education level.

Figure 5.2 Employees by educational level in the Oresund Region, 1994, %.

 

Greater Copenhagen

Scania

The Oresund Region

No vocational training or education

37

29

34

Vocational training

39

44

41

Short higher education

7

14

9

Medium or long higher education

17

13

16

Source: AF-Oresund, 1996

 

5.3 Development Trends in Unemployment

Because of the use of widely different statistical methods in measuring the level of unemployment in Denmark and Sweden respectively, it is not possible directly to compare unemployment figures across boundaries.

According to ILO standards for Labour Force Statistics, the level of unemployment in the region as a whole is estimated at about 8% in 1996. The level in the Danish part of the region alone is estimated at 7% and the level in Scania is estimated at 11%.

In the period since 1995 the unemployment rate in the Danish part has decreased significantly, while the level in Scania has increased as shown in figure 5.3 below.

Figure 5.3 - Development in Unemployment1

 

Greater Copenhagen

Scania

4th quarter 1995

100

100

1st quarter 1996

96

103

2nd quarter 1996

92

106

3rd quarter 1996

88

107

4th quarter 1996

84

111

1st quarter 1997

81

114

2nd quarter 1997

79

114

3rd quarter 1997

76

113

4th quarter 1997

74

107

Note: The periods are average over the previous 4 quarters, 4th quarter 1995 = 100.

Source: Statistics Denmark and Statistics Sweden.

 

 

5.4 Supply of Technical Expertise in the Workforce

5.4.1 Engineers

The total number of engineers in the Oresund Region amounts to app. 50.000 persons, see figure 5.4.

Figure 5.4 - Number of engineers by group of education in the Oresund Region 1998.

 

Greater Copenhagen

Scania

The Oresund Region

Total no. of Engineers

35.500

13.800

49.300

Source: Copenhagen area: Estimate based on data from The Association of Engineers in Denmark.

Scania: Invest in Sweden.

5.5 Language Capabilities

The fact that Denmark and Sweden are relatively small and open economies necessitates strong foreign language capabilities of the population. At school children are developing English language capabilities already from the age of nine to ten years, and German language capabilities from the age of about 13 years.

For instance, a survey made by the EU, Eurobarometer, in 1995 shows that three out of four Danes and Swedes are speaking English well enough to take part in a conversation. For the EU countries in general only one out of two are speaking English well enough to carry out a conversation.

Among young Danes and Swedes between 15 and 24 years almost all speak English well enough to carry out a conversation. A survey made by Eurobarometer in 1997 shows that more than 95% of the young people in Denmark and Sweden are speaking English well enough to carry out a conversation, whereas only about 50% of the young people in EU on average are able to carry out a conversation in English.